We went through the exact same exercise with the Tea Party during the Obama era. Some of these “third party” candidates will be elected to Congress, maybe form their own caucus, maybe piss off the Speaker on a few inconsequential votes… but then ultimately they’ll just continue to vote with the GOP 98% of the time and nothing of any consequence will change.
With the way America’s election system works, a third party is always bad news for the most similar party. If 15% of voting republicans and 10% of voting democrats switch to this new party, that converts a 50 50 race to a 40 35 25 race, with democrats winning.
The way it could be bad for non-MAGA people would be if enough sane republicans, if there are any left, decide to vote in the third party’s primaries, leaving the insane republicans voting in the original republican party’s primaries, causing the republican candidates to become even more extreme, leading to some elections where the choices are right, far right, and extreme right.
This is not good news
Whatever fragments the right wing.
This won’t fragment the right wing one bit.
We went through the exact same exercise with the Tea Party during the Obama era. Some of these “third party” candidates will be elected to Congress, maybe form their own caucus, maybe piss off the Speaker on a few inconsequential votes… but then ultimately they’ll just continue to vote with the GOP 98% of the time and nothing of any consequence will change.
It would actually be very good news because it would split the right-wing vote. But I doubt it will actually happen.
Split the Republican party into its two halves. The evil half and the idiot half.
They’re the same picture.
Yup. He can be the new Reform Party.
It would probably split the centrist dem vote too, fml
With the way America’s election system works, a third party is always bad news for the most similar party. If 15% of voting republicans and 10% of voting democrats switch to this new party, that converts a 50 50 race to a 40 35 25 race, with democrats winning.
The way it could be bad for non-MAGA people would be if enough sane republicans, if there are any left, decide to vote in the third party’s primaries, leaving the insane republicans voting in the original republican party’s primaries, causing the republican candidates to become even more extreme, leading to some elections where the choices are right, far right, and extreme right.
It might get the same people that might fall for the Green Party, honestly.