With the way America’s election system works, a third party is always bad news for the most similar party. If 15% of voting republicans and 10% of voting democrats switch to this new party, that converts a 50 50 race to a 40 35 25 race, with democrats winning.
The way it could be bad for non-MAGA people would be if enough sane republicans, if there are any left, decide to vote in the third party’s primaries, leaving the insane republicans voting in the original republican party’s primaries, causing the republican candidates to become even more extreme, leading to some elections where the choices are right, far right, and extreme right.
With the way America’s election system works, a third party is always bad news for the most similar party. If 15% of voting republicans and 10% of voting democrats switch to this new party, that converts a 50 50 race to a 40 35 25 race, with democrats winning.
The way it could be bad for non-MAGA people would be if enough sane republicans, if there are any left, decide to vote in the third party’s primaries, leaving the insane republicans voting in the original republican party’s primaries, causing the republican candidates to become even more extreme, leading to some elections where the choices are right, far right, and extreme right.