Yup. Like I also said. It might not be LLMs. The same was once true of steam engines, which were great at long distances perhaps but were huge, heavy, expensive and complicated and required a team of people to operate. Horses became even more valuable for their last mile stuff. It took time before the internal combustion engine and 4 stroke compression suddenly made engine power smaller, cheaper, more efficient and easy to operate by a single person. In 1918, the US for example had 27 million head of horse, by 1960 it was 3 million. All I’m saying is that it will happen. When? I have no idea.
so like, i’m with you, only it’s not just artificial intelligence it’s also the power requirements. usable fusion is always 5 years away. like there’s even been articles about it. scaling up green energy just to meet our demands (and i’m not an expert, i’m just really good at estimating) could provide the power to a society, but the first few AI will need many times that. as i understand my Machine Learning colleagues from college (and it’s been a while since i’ve spoken to these friends, you know the type you see them every few years and no time has passed) we’re really good at throwing spaghetti at the wall and hoping it sticks. getting the spaghetti to cook itself, throw itself at the wall, and stick the first try? well we can make it look like that happens
For sure man. Haha yeah we are. It’s true. This is the critical aspect: teaching the spaghetti to harvest itself, make itself and cook itself. I think we are a ways away from it, but who knows. Energy requirements is also a huge issue.
Yup. Like I also said. It might not be LLMs. The same was once true of steam engines, which were great at long distances perhaps but were huge, heavy, expensive and complicated and required a team of people to operate. Horses became even more valuable for their last mile stuff. It took time before the internal combustion engine and 4 stroke compression suddenly made engine power smaller, cheaper, more efficient and easy to operate by a single person. In 1918, the US for example had 27 million head of horse, by 1960 it was 3 million. All I’m saying is that it will happen. When? I have no idea.
so like, i’m with you, only it’s not just artificial intelligence it’s also the power requirements. usable fusion is always 5 years away. like there’s even been articles about it. scaling up green energy just to meet our demands (and i’m not an expert, i’m just really good at estimating) could provide the power to a society, but the first few AI will need many times that. as i understand my Machine Learning colleagues from college (and it’s been a while since i’ve spoken to these friends, you know the type you see them every few years and no time has passed) we’re really good at throwing spaghetti at the wall and hoping it sticks. getting the spaghetti to cook itself, throw itself at the wall, and stick the first try? well we can make it look like that happens
For sure man. Haha yeah we are. It’s true. This is the critical aspect: teaching the spaghetti to harvest itself, make itself and cook itself. I think we are a ways away from it, but who knows. Energy requirements is also a huge issue.