The AI boom has turned the standard profit margin model on its head, according to Apollo Chief Economist Torsten Slok—and it’s making the industry’s growth unsustainable.
They’re not even better optimized. Hallucination rates are up. Inference costs are up. There’s only an AI industry at all because they’re selling a highly subsidized product, but when they try to raise prices even a little the market collapses. Companies that were encouraging employees to up their AI use are now rationing tokens like chocolate in wartime. This isn’t like Uber where they can push out the old providers and then obtain market capture on something everyone needs. AI is not, and cannot be, essential, because you can always just get a human to do it.
I disagree. AI is enabling doing things that are not worth paying a human to do, yet still have value. the question is, whether the infrastructure costs can realign to hit that sweet spot.
They’re not even better optimized. Hallucination rates are up. Inference costs are up. There’s only an AI industry at all because they’re selling a highly subsidized product, but when they try to raise prices even a little the market collapses. Companies that were encouraging employees to up their AI use are now rationing tokens like chocolate in wartime. This isn’t like Uber where they can push out the old providers and then obtain market capture on something everyone needs. AI is not, and cannot be, essential, because you can always just get a human to do it.
I disagree. AI is enabling doing things that are not worth paying a human to do, yet still have value. the question is, whether the infrastructure costs can realign to hit that sweet spot.